●你买了一间屋子,由跟发展商签约到发展商交屋给你,前后三年,你觉得这是理所当然的事,三年的等待,你觉得一点也不长。在这期间,你没有分文收入,却定期的给银行利息,你也毫无怨言。
●你买了一百英亩的荒地,开辟为油棕园,由伐木、烧芭、开路挖沟,育苗,种植,除草,施肥,整整忙了三年,才看到棕果出现,收成仍不足以维持开支, 再等两年,棕果渐丰,油棕园的收支才达到平衡,仍没钱赚。这已是第五个年头了。忙了五年,只有付出,没有收入,你不以为苦,因为你知道那是赚钱无可避免的 途径。
●你买了五十亩的地,是树胶园,属农业地,你要把它发展为住宅区,於是你向土地局申请将农业地转为屋地,再将屋地分割为五、六百段每段20′× 75′的屋地,以兴建五,六百间排屋出售。分割后为每段屋地申请个别地契,请绘测师设计屋子的图样,请工程师计算成本,请承包商承建屋子,由市场部登广告 出售屋子,跟银行接洽融资问题,屋子建筑过程中要处理许多附近居民的申诉,要按期向购屋者收款,到领到入伙纸,把屋交给购屋者,由购买土地到交屋收工,前 后长达五年,总算钱赚到了手。作为发展商,你认为以五年的时间赚钱,是正常的,是合理的,你耐心地等待,从无怨言。
●你是一名中小型企业家,你有制造某种产品的经验,过去你是为别人管理公司的,现在决定自己创业,你决定建一间工厂,你从调查市场,向银行接洽借 款,寻找厂地,设计厂房,招聘员工,装置机器,试验生产,到产品推入市场,从策划到产品出现在百货公司的货架上,前后三年,再苦撑两年,才开始有盈利,那 已是第五个年头了。你认为这是创业的正常过程,你心甘情愿与你的事业同行五年,毫无怨言。
●你是开药剂店的,你决定在城市的另一区,开一间分店,为来自该区的顾客服务,从寻找店铺,装修,聘请药剂师,筹备开张,到正式做生意,前后也要一年半。
以上的五个例子--买屋子收租,开辟油棕园,建屋出售,从事工业,开零售店,从筹备到赚钱,快则一年半,慢则五年,业者从无怨言,因为他们了解,做任何事业,都需要时间,绝对没有一蹴即成这回事。
以上的五个例子有一个共同点,那就是投入资金,希望赚取合理的利润,这叫“投资”,业者除了知道投资需要时间外,他们也接受一个事实,即凡是投资,都有风险,没有任何投资是没有风险的,风险是他们赚取比银行定存更高的利润所面付出的代价。
投资者接受两项事实:
①投资需要时间才能赚到利润,没有捷径可操。
②凡投资都有风险,风险的高低常与利润成正比。
股票投资,是许许多多投资管道之一,为什么投资者不能接受以上的两项事实。做事业,你可以等三、五年,股票投资为什么不能等三、五年?
绝大部份的股票投资者,都希望今天买进,明天就卖出,赚取暴利。假如你告诉他,低价买进好股,持握三年,可以赚钱,他们觉得时间太长,难以接受。
为什么买屋子可以等三年,买股票却不能?
为什么肯化五年的时间去完成一项建屋计划,等油棕成熟,等工业产生利润,为什么股票投资不肯等五年?
为什么肯化一年半的时间去开一间药剂店分行,买股票却不愿等一年半载?
股票就是公司的股份,跟合资买屋,参股种油棕,建屋,开工厂,开药剂店分行没有两样,你拥有股份的上市公司,跟你所参股的别的私人公司一样,需要时间去完成业务,才能赚到钱,为什么你用不一样的态度去对待同样的股份?
这种态度合理吗?
投资生意有赚有亏,做生意的人坦然面对,无怨无尤。
你持有股份的上市公司也是在做生意,当然也是有赚有亏,投资者为什么不能忍受亏蚀,为什么不能接受可能亏蚀的事实而怨无尤人?
上市公司多达950家,任你挑选参股的对象,你因为无知,因为贪婪,因为听信谣言,而参股於错误的企业,岂能完全归咎於股市?你自己没有责任吗?
大多数股票每年的股价波动幅度由数十巴仙至数百巴仙不等,你在低价时不买,高价时抢进,亏了本,不怨自己怨别人,合理吗?
参股做生意,例如合股种油棕,六、七年之后才可能分红,买棕油股,当年就可分到股息,不是更合算吗?
在做任何事情失败后,多数人只怨别人,把责任推在别人或环境身上,能自我反省的人少之又少。
股票投资也一样,亏了本不是怨股市,就是怨别人使奸用诈,从来不检讨自己失败的原因。
我再问:买屋子可以等三年,为什么买股票不能等三年?
2011年6月28日星期二
股票生活化
大部分股票投资者对上市公司,感到陌生,他们觉得,股票跟他们的生活,没有什么关系。
实际上,股票跟我们的生活,甚至我们的人生,息息相关。
我可以说,大部分人生活中的大部分时间,都与股票有关。
让我们看看一名普通受薪职员每天的生活,是怎样渡过的。
早上他一觉醒来,第一件事就是开灯,电流是由上市的国家能源,独立发电厂马拉卡夫或杨忠礼电力等上市公司供应的,其他供应电力的上市公司还有砂越企业,丹绒,环球等。
他是洗脸,洗脸的自来水不是由上市公司高峰,达力,联熹公用,槟州水供,或是英丹,其中一家公司供应的,这就要看他是住在那一州那一市而定。
梳洗之后,他吃早餐,如果他吃谷类的话,他多数吃雀巢的产品,喝雀巢出产的美碌,阿华田,或是喝子母牌的鲜奶,或是花莎尼生产的炼奶,也许他会在美碌中加上炼奶,那么他已用了两家上市公司的产品。
如果他时间很匆忙,要赶着去开会,也许他会吃在数分钟就能准备好的快熟面,那么,他可能吃了妈咪大宝达,杨协成或是雀巢的美极快熟面,吃饱后再喝一杯雀巢的咖啡精,也跟上市公司脱离不了关系。
吃早餐时,他觉得他应该增加营养,於是吃了两粒安利的营养丸,安利这家美国公司,是直销业的泰斗,股息非常丰厚。
他一面吃早餐,一面翻阅当天的报纸他受过中英文教育,所以他订阅由上市公司南洋报业出版的南洋商报和星报出版社出版的星报,有时他也看新海峡时报和 中国报,作为执行人员,他在上班前一定看中英文报的经济版,放工回家后才读社会新闻和政治新闻,当然,他也注意股票行情,因为他持有一些上市公司的股票。
当他被一则股票新闻吸引时,他的妻子来催促他上班。
他匆匆提了公事包,进入他的普腾赛佳,他的车当然是由国产汽车控股公司生产的,这家上市公司正面对东协关税措施实行后,入口车降价的挑战,能在群车 围剿中脱颖而出吗?国产车总经销在将资产分发给股东后,由於已不再是国产车的总经销商,正在努力寻求别种牌子的代理权,企图成为汽车的超级市场,前途如 何?
他把车驾离家园时,注意到车子的保险快到期,他还没有决定向太平洋与东方,澄心亚洲,丰隆保险(属丰隆贷款)等上市公司那一间公司购买保险。
看一看油表,他知道油箱的汽油已不多,他把车子驾进国油贸易的油站,加满了油再上道。国油贸易是国家石油公司的子公司,是一只蓝筹股,他拥有这家公司的股票。不过,有时他也向其他上市公司蚬壳,埃索的油站添油,看他车在何处而定。
他沿着由金务大的子公司环城控股所拥有的白沙罗浦种大道,再进入由八打灵通往吉隆坡的SPRINT,前往於首都黄金三角的办公室,沿途经过上市产业公司成隆机构的总部成隆楼,雪兰莪产业(SelangorProp)开发的白沙罗高原。
进入惹兰敦依斯迈后,黄金三角出现在眼前,他看到了森那美大厦,由辉百控制的沙里顿酒店,由拉昔胡申公司发展,目前暂时搁置的宏景城,怡保花园拥有 一半股权的礼那申酒店,郭鹤年的香格里拉酒店,由贸易机构(前称国企)拥有的珍珠酒店,龙马控股的金河广场,杨忠礼机构拥有的Lot10,星山和J.W玛 丽奥酒店,毅成拥有的威斯汀酒店和激成的办公大厦,成功集团的吉隆坡广场和成功时代广场。望向安邦路,他可以看到新近上市的城中城产业以及由亚太置地拥有 的帝国塔楼和公主酒店,当然,他也有到位於拉查朱兰的莫实德大厦。
这些都是上市公司的地标。
进入办公室后,他拿出一叠由金狮森林工业制造的书写纸,草拟一份业务报告。金狮拥有的沙巴森林工业是大马惟一以树桐制成纸浆,再制成高级书写纸的企业。
他打开由上市公司1公司制造的电脑,通过电邮与在外国谈生意的同事沟通,他知道他用到多家大马自动报价市场的上市公司提供的资讯服务,他感谢这些高科技公司,解决他在处理业务,储存资料方面所面对的困扰。
他通过数码网络或明讯的手机服务或电讯公司的有线电话,跟他的顾客保持联络,完成多宗交易之后,午餐时间到,他感到有点疲倦,而用餐时间不多,他信步走进附近的肯德基快餐店,叫了一份炸鸡,他知道,他填满了肚子,而这家上市公司又做了一笔小生意。
当天下午,他向老板作了一份汇报,又与同事开了两个小时会议,会议冗长又枯燥,他想打瞌睡,乃叫冲茶的阿婶给他来一杯雀巢的咖啡精,以提一提神,因为中秋将至,他叫人买了些大同酒家的月饼,作为茶果,使会议多了点人情味。
下班时,已是万家灯火,他回到温暖的家,吃着由国家稻米公司的入口白米煮成的香喷喷白饭,配以太太亲手煮出来的菜肴,见到在英迪学院深造的儿子在勤 力做功课,他感到心满意足,於是扭开了Astro的娱乐节目,欣赏凤凰台的人物访谈,有时也扭开由新海峡集团拥有的TV3,听新闻报告。
从这人一天的生活,我们可以看出,股票为上市公司的股份,而上市公司所提供的,正是我们日常生活中所需要的东西或服务,将股票抽象化是投资者最易犯的毛病。
假如你在应用这些公司所提供的服务,或是所生产的产品时,立刻将有关上市公司的资料包括业务、资本、业绩等在脑海中温习一次,久而久之,你就会对大部分的上市公司,了如指掌,这将有助於你在投资股票时,作出更明智的选择。
实际上,股票跟我们的生活,甚至我们的人生,息息相关。
我可以说,大部分人生活中的大部分时间,都与股票有关。
让我们看看一名普通受薪职员每天的生活,是怎样渡过的。
早上他一觉醒来,第一件事就是开灯,电流是由上市的国家能源,独立发电厂马拉卡夫或杨忠礼电力等上市公司供应的,其他供应电力的上市公司还有砂越企业,丹绒,环球等。
他是洗脸,洗脸的自来水不是由上市公司高峰,达力,联熹公用,槟州水供,或是英丹,其中一家公司供应的,这就要看他是住在那一州那一市而定。
梳洗之后,他吃早餐,如果他吃谷类的话,他多数吃雀巢的产品,喝雀巢出产的美碌,阿华田,或是喝子母牌的鲜奶,或是花莎尼生产的炼奶,也许他会在美碌中加上炼奶,那么他已用了两家上市公司的产品。
如果他时间很匆忙,要赶着去开会,也许他会吃在数分钟就能准备好的快熟面,那么,他可能吃了妈咪大宝达,杨协成或是雀巢的美极快熟面,吃饱后再喝一杯雀巢的咖啡精,也跟上市公司脱离不了关系。
吃早餐时,他觉得他应该增加营养,於是吃了两粒安利的营养丸,安利这家美国公司,是直销业的泰斗,股息非常丰厚。
他一面吃早餐,一面翻阅当天的报纸他受过中英文教育,所以他订阅由上市公司南洋报业出版的南洋商报和星报出版社出版的星报,有时他也看新海峡时报和 中国报,作为执行人员,他在上班前一定看中英文报的经济版,放工回家后才读社会新闻和政治新闻,当然,他也注意股票行情,因为他持有一些上市公司的股票。
当他被一则股票新闻吸引时,他的妻子来催促他上班。
他匆匆提了公事包,进入他的普腾赛佳,他的车当然是由国产汽车控股公司生产的,这家上市公司正面对东协关税措施实行后,入口车降价的挑战,能在群车 围剿中脱颖而出吗?国产车总经销在将资产分发给股东后,由於已不再是国产车的总经销商,正在努力寻求别种牌子的代理权,企图成为汽车的超级市场,前途如 何?
他把车驾离家园时,注意到车子的保险快到期,他还没有决定向太平洋与东方,澄心亚洲,丰隆保险(属丰隆贷款)等上市公司那一间公司购买保险。
看一看油表,他知道油箱的汽油已不多,他把车子驾进国油贸易的油站,加满了油再上道。国油贸易是国家石油公司的子公司,是一只蓝筹股,他拥有这家公司的股票。不过,有时他也向其他上市公司蚬壳,埃索的油站添油,看他车在何处而定。
他沿着由金务大的子公司环城控股所拥有的白沙罗浦种大道,再进入由八打灵通往吉隆坡的SPRINT,前往於首都黄金三角的办公室,沿途经过上市产业公司成隆机构的总部成隆楼,雪兰莪产业(SelangorProp)开发的白沙罗高原。
进入惹兰敦依斯迈后,黄金三角出现在眼前,他看到了森那美大厦,由辉百控制的沙里顿酒店,由拉昔胡申公司发展,目前暂时搁置的宏景城,怡保花园拥有 一半股权的礼那申酒店,郭鹤年的香格里拉酒店,由贸易机构(前称国企)拥有的珍珠酒店,龙马控股的金河广场,杨忠礼机构拥有的Lot10,星山和J.W玛 丽奥酒店,毅成拥有的威斯汀酒店和激成的办公大厦,成功集团的吉隆坡广场和成功时代广场。望向安邦路,他可以看到新近上市的城中城产业以及由亚太置地拥有 的帝国塔楼和公主酒店,当然,他也有到位於拉查朱兰的莫实德大厦。
这些都是上市公司的地标。
进入办公室后,他拿出一叠由金狮森林工业制造的书写纸,草拟一份业务报告。金狮拥有的沙巴森林工业是大马惟一以树桐制成纸浆,再制成高级书写纸的企业。
他打开由上市公司1公司制造的电脑,通过电邮与在外国谈生意的同事沟通,他知道他用到多家大马自动报价市场的上市公司提供的资讯服务,他感谢这些高科技公司,解决他在处理业务,储存资料方面所面对的困扰。
他通过数码网络或明讯的手机服务或电讯公司的有线电话,跟他的顾客保持联络,完成多宗交易之后,午餐时间到,他感到有点疲倦,而用餐时间不多,他信步走进附近的肯德基快餐店,叫了一份炸鸡,他知道,他填满了肚子,而这家上市公司又做了一笔小生意。
当天下午,他向老板作了一份汇报,又与同事开了两个小时会议,会议冗长又枯燥,他想打瞌睡,乃叫冲茶的阿婶给他来一杯雀巢的咖啡精,以提一提神,因为中秋将至,他叫人买了些大同酒家的月饼,作为茶果,使会议多了点人情味。
下班时,已是万家灯火,他回到温暖的家,吃着由国家稻米公司的入口白米煮成的香喷喷白饭,配以太太亲手煮出来的菜肴,见到在英迪学院深造的儿子在勤 力做功课,他感到心满意足,於是扭开了Astro的娱乐节目,欣赏凤凰台的人物访谈,有时也扭开由新海峡集团拥有的TV3,听新闻报告。
从这人一天的生活,我们可以看出,股票为上市公司的股份,而上市公司所提供的,正是我们日常生活中所需要的东西或服务,将股票抽象化是投资者最易犯的毛病。
假如你在应用这些公司所提供的服务,或是所生产的产品时,立刻将有关上市公司的资料包括业务、资本、业绩等在脑海中温习一次,久而久之,你就会对大部分的上市公司,了如指掌,这将有助於你在投资股票时,作出更明智的选择。
大众信托基金
投资就是对未来的一种信念。我们之所以把钱交给一间公司,是因为我们相信,或者至少我们希望他们能尽所能、尽全力,使我们的投资得到高额回报。我们之所以购买大众信托基金,因为我们相信大众信托基金的经理们远比其他基金的经理好,因此间接地降低我们的投资风险。
人们常常害怕风险,但却想要高回酬。试问天下有白吃的午餐吗?在未来,是不是会出现不可预见的经济危机,使经济严重地衰退,以至于彻底摧毁我们对投资的信心?有可能。风平浪静往往会使我们失去对风暴的警觉。在长长的金融投资历史中,不时地会出现乐观的投资者将金融资产的价格推高至一个非理性的高度,而他们则掉进投机的旋涡,不能自拔,最终遭到惨重的失败。投资是不确定的。但作为一个长期投资者,我们不能让这种可能性阻挡我们进入市场。因为没有风险,就没有收益。
要投资成功,首先必须是一个长期投资者。从短期来看,股票市场和债眷市场变化莫测。但从长期收益和风险的比较看来,股票市场和债眷市场的发展十分稳定,长期投资一定会取得成功。别再犹豫了,越早投资大众信托基金,你越早可以安稳的享受生活。切记时间就是金钱。若有疑问,欢迎随时联络我。 :)
人们常常害怕风险,但却想要高回酬。试问天下有白吃的午餐吗?在未来,是不是会出现不可预见的经济危机,使经济严重地衰退,以至于彻底摧毁我们对投资的信心?有可能。风平浪静往往会使我们失去对风暴的警觉。在长长的金融投资历史中,不时地会出现乐观的投资者将金融资产的价格推高至一个非理性的高度,而他们则掉进投机的旋涡,不能自拔,最终遭到惨重的失败。投资是不确定的。但作为一个长期投资者,我们不能让这种可能性阻挡我们进入市场。因为没有风险,就没有收益。
要投资成功,首先必须是一个长期投资者。从短期来看,股票市场和债眷市场变化莫测。但从长期收益和风险的比较看来,股票市场和债眷市场的发展十分稳定,长期投资一定会取得成功。别再犹豫了,越早投资大众信托基金,你越早可以安稳的享受生活。切记时间就是金钱。若有疑问,欢迎随时联络我。 :)
大眾信托基金奪8獎‧第5度蟬聯The Edge-Lipper最大贏家
(吉隆坡)大眾銀行(PBBANK,1295;主板金融組)獨資子公司,大眾信托基金在2008年The Edge-Lipper大馬基金獎中第5度蟬聯最大贏家,在20個獎項中奪得8個獎,包括Lipper3年期最佳股票組別獎。
大眾信托基金主席丹斯里拿督斯里鄭鴻標博士指出,他對大眾信托基金繼續在今年的The Edge-Lipper馬來西亞基金獎中榮獲最多獎項感到非常榮幸。
有關獎項由馬來西亞證券交易監督委員會主席拿督查麗娜安華於2008年2月26日在吉隆坡希爾頓酒店的頒獎典禮上頒發予大眾信托基金首席執行員楊金鳳及其投資團隊。
大眾信托基金榮獲的8個獎項是︰
大眾信托基金︰最佳股票組別,3年期
PB平穩入息基金:馬幣債券,5年期
PB成長基金:最佳大馬股票基金,5年期
大眾小資本基金:最佳大馬股票中小資本基金,5年期
PB平衡基金:最佳馬幣混合資產平衡基金,5年期
大眾益德基金:最佳大馬股票基金,5年期;最佳大馬股票基金,10年期
大眾債券基金:最佳馬幣債券基金,10年期
PB平穩入息基金:馬幣債券,5年期
PB成長基金:最佳大馬股票基金,5年期
大眾小資本基金:最佳大馬股票中小資本基金,5年期
PB平衡基金:最佳馬幣混合資產平衡基金,5年期
大眾益德基金:最佳大馬股票基金,5年期;最佳大馬股票基金,10年期
大眾債券基金:最佳馬幣債券基金,10年期
大眾信托基金是我國最大的私人單位信托公司,截至2007年12月31日,該公司所管理的總基金淨值達284億令吉。
安聯金融(AFG,2488;主板金融組)旗下安聯投資管理首個基金─安聯第一基金在The Edge-Lipper 2008年大馬基金獎項中奪得混合資產平衡基金10年組中“表現最佳基金”。
此為第一基金連續第2次奪下有關殊榮。
第一基金於1996年推介,為平衡基金下的收入和成長基金,主要投資於固定收入證券,包括貨幣市場存款、企業債券和債務證券。有關基金50%淨資產值投資於海外市場。(星洲日報/財經)
大众信托基金 推大众新加坡股票基金
(吉隆坡6日讯)大众银行(PbBank,1295,主板金融股)独资子公司——大众信托基金,将于6月7日推出一项新基金——大众新加坡股票基金。
大众新加坡股票基金是一项欲通过主要投资在新加坡市场的投资组合,以在中至长期间达到资本增长。
该基金将专注投资在弹性增长前景的领域例如银行及金融,产业及房地产投资信托,消费,岸外及海洋工程,服务及商品。
大众信托基金总执行长杨金凤指出,在过去的10年,即从2001年至2010年,新加坡是东南亚地区经济增长最快的国家之一,国内生产总值增长率达到每年平均5.7%,比起东盟在同时期每年平均4.7%更标青。
由于拥有世界级的基建及营商环境,新加坡是东南亚最大的外国直接投资的受益国,于2009年取得163亿美元或东南亚外国直接投资总额的41%。
参与狮城经济增长
杨金凤表示,“大众新加坡股票基金,可让投资者参与新加坡的经济和良好增长前景。长期间,投资者可从新币的增值潜能中获益。”
“此基金也适合想为子女在新加坡未来的教育费用作套期保值的父母,因为新加坡的股票投资预计在长期间与教育经费的上涨趋势并驾齐驱。”
大众新加坡股票基金的股票比重一般上介于其净值的75%至98%。
此基金适合拥有积极型风险回酬性质,和有意从新币增值的潜能,而作为套期保值的投资者。
大众新加坡股票基金在2011年6月7日至27日的21天,初期优待推介价,每单位25仙。
最低初期投资额为1000令吉,而最低附加投资额则为100令吉。
大众新加坡股票基金是一项欲通过主要投资在新加坡市场的投资组合,以在中至长期间达到资本增长。
该基金将专注投资在弹性增长前景的领域例如银行及金融,产业及房地产投资信托,消费,岸外及海洋工程,服务及商品。
大众信托基金总执行长杨金凤指出,在过去的10年,即从2001年至2010年,新加坡是东南亚地区经济增长最快的国家之一,国内生产总值增长率达到每年平均5.7%,比起东盟在同时期每年平均4.7%更标青。
由于拥有世界级的基建及营商环境,新加坡是东南亚最大的外国直接投资的受益国,于2009年取得163亿美元或东南亚外国直接投资总额的41%。
参与狮城经济增长
杨金凤表示,“大众新加坡股票基金,可让投资者参与新加坡的经济和良好增长前景。长期间,投资者可从新币的增值潜能中获益。”
“此基金也适合想为子女在新加坡未来的教育费用作套期保值的父母,因为新加坡的股票投资预计在长期间与教育经费的上涨趋势并驾齐驱。”
大众新加坡股票基金的股票比重一般上介于其净值的75%至98%。
此基金适合拥有积极型风险回酬性质,和有意从新币增值的潜能,而作为套期保值的投资者。
大众新加坡股票基金在2011年6月7日至27日的21天,初期优待推介价,每单位25仙。
最低初期投资额为1000令吉,而最低附加投资额则为100令吉。
Tecguan- powered higher by palm oil business
Background
Teck Guan Perdana Bhd ('Tecguan') is involved in the two main businesses:
In the past 4 years, Tecguan's cocoa products business has shrunk while the oil palm products business has grown significantly. The bulk of Tecguan's oil palm products business comes from the kernel crushing plant as the acreage of its oil palm estates is only 2020 acres. Based on this small acreage, we can deduce that 10-15% of its turnover came from FFB sales while the balance came from sale of kernel oil.

Table 1: Tecguan's 1Q Segmental Results for the past 4 FY
Part of a large Conglomerate
Tecguan is a part of the HTG Holdings Sdn Bhd group of companies. Its business dealings with related companies could be fairly extensive. This situation could become problematic when substantial amount of money is owing to its holding company while equally large amount is due from related companies. For example, if you look at the Annual Report for FY2010, there is an amount due from a related company of RM70.6 million, which was classified under Current Assets. Tecguan in turn owed its holding company RM79.1 million, which was classified as Non-current Liabilities. It also owed related companies a total of RM13.5 million, which was classified as Current Liabilities. All amount advanced or owed carries interest at a rate of 5.55% pa.
In its detailed accounts for QE30/4/2011, Tecguan's Trade & Other Receivable dropped to RM17.8 million from RM73.4 million as at 31/1/2011 while its Cash Balances increased to RM46.4 million from RM11.5 million. On the Liabilities side, the Other Payables (which should include the Amount due to Holding Company) dropped slightly from RM78.6 million to RM64.2 million.
Recent Financial Results
Tecguan's financial performance has improved significantly over the past two quarters. When compared to last year, Tecguan's net profit increased by 52% despite an unchanged turnover. Net profit has however declined by 20% q-o-q to RM4.0 million despite a 22%-increase in turnover to RM54 million. The decline in bottom-line on a q-o-q basis is due mainly to lower FFB prices.

Table 2: Tecguan's last 8 quarterly results

Chart 1: Tecguan's last 16 quarterly results
Financial Position
Tecguan's financial position as at 30/4/2011 is deemed satisfactory, with current ratio at 3.3 times and debt to equity ratio at 0.3 time. Tecguan was holding cash balances of RM46 million as at 30/4/2011. However, this cash position is likely to be money advanced by its holding company for unspecified purposes. In the past, the money has been on-lend to related companies.
Valuation
Tecguan (closed at RM0.83 at end of the morning session) is trading at a PE of 2 times (based on annualized EPS of 40 sen). Even adjusted for the current slide in the price of CPO, Tecguan is deemed very cheap.
Technical Outlook
Tecguan has been in a bottoming phase from 2006 until early this year. It broke above its strong horizontal line at RM0.80 today. Its next resistance is the horizontal line at RM0.95-1.00.

Chart 2: Tecguan's monthly chart as at June 27, 2011 (Source: Quickcharts)
Conclusion
Based on good financial performance and attractive valuation, Tecguan can be a good stock for long-term investment. The upside breakout above the RM0.80 horizontal line could signal the start of a new upleg; thus, a possible trading BUY. However, Tecguan is such an integral part of the HTG group of companies that it is bound to be afflicted with issues of corporate governance and transparency. These issues could affect investors' enthusiasm for the stock
Teck Guan Perdana Bhd ('Tecguan') is involved in the two main businesses:
1) Oil Palm products business, where it owns oil palm plantation as well as operates a kernel crushing plant; and
2) Cocoa products business, where it manufactures & sells cocoa products as well as trades in dried cocoa beans.
In the past 4 years, Tecguan's cocoa products business has shrunk while the oil palm products business has grown significantly. The bulk of Tecguan's oil palm products business comes from the kernel crushing plant as the acreage of its oil palm estates is only 2020 acres. Based on this small acreage, we can deduce that 10-15% of its turnover came from FFB sales while the balance came from sale of kernel oil.

Table 1: Tecguan's 1Q Segmental Results for the past 4 FY
Part of a large Conglomerate
Tecguan is a part of the HTG Holdings Sdn Bhd group of companies. Its business dealings with related companies could be fairly extensive. This situation could become problematic when substantial amount of money is owing to its holding company while equally large amount is due from related companies. For example, if you look at the Annual Report for FY2010, there is an amount due from a related company of RM70.6 million, which was classified under Current Assets. Tecguan in turn owed its holding company RM79.1 million, which was classified as Non-current Liabilities. It also owed related companies a total of RM13.5 million, which was classified as Current Liabilities. All amount advanced or owed carries interest at a rate of 5.55% pa.
In its detailed accounts for QE30/4/2011, Tecguan's Trade & Other Receivable dropped to RM17.8 million from RM73.4 million as at 31/1/2011 while its Cash Balances increased to RM46.4 million from RM11.5 million. On the Liabilities side, the Other Payables (which should include the Amount due to Holding Company) dropped slightly from RM78.6 million to RM64.2 million.
Recent Financial Results
Tecguan's financial performance has improved significantly over the past two quarters. When compared to last year, Tecguan's net profit increased by 52% despite an unchanged turnover. Net profit has however declined by 20% q-o-q to RM4.0 million despite a 22%-increase in turnover to RM54 million. The decline in bottom-line on a q-o-q basis is due mainly to lower FFB prices.

Table 2: Tecguan's last 8 quarterly results

Chart 1: Tecguan's last 16 quarterly results
Financial Position
Tecguan's financial position as at 30/4/2011 is deemed satisfactory, with current ratio at 3.3 times and debt to equity ratio at 0.3 time. Tecguan was holding cash balances of RM46 million as at 30/4/2011. However, this cash position is likely to be money advanced by its holding company for unspecified purposes. In the past, the money has been on-lend to related companies.
Valuation
Tecguan (closed at RM0.83 at end of the morning session) is trading at a PE of 2 times (based on annualized EPS of 40 sen). Even adjusted for the current slide in the price of CPO, Tecguan is deemed very cheap.
Technical Outlook
Tecguan has been in a bottoming phase from 2006 until early this year. It broke above its strong horizontal line at RM0.80 today. Its next resistance is the horizontal line at RM0.95-1.00.

Chart 2: Tecguan's monthly chart as at June 27, 2011 (Source: Quickcharts)
Conclusion
Based on good financial performance and attractive valuation, Tecguan can be a good stock for long-term investment. The upside breakout above the RM0.80 horizontal line could signal the start of a new upleg; thus, a possible trading BUY. However, Tecguan is such an integral part of the HTG group of companies that it is bound to be afflicted with issues of corporate governance and transparency. These issues could affect investors' enthusiasm for the stock
Overconfidence
One of the most documented of all psychological errors is the tendency to be over optimistic. In general, most people do not see the need to improve the way they make decisions, as they believe that they are already making excellent decisions. The unwarranted belief that we are usually correct is a major real-life barrier to critical thinking.
People exaggerate their own abilities and this is particularly common in managing their assets. Overconfidence often results in investors being fooled by small gains in a few trades, feeling much more in control of a situation than they are. Money managers, advisors and investors are consistently overconfident in their ability to outperform the market, but fail to do so.
For example, mutual fund managers, analysts, and business executives at a conference were asked to write down (1) how much money they would have at retirement and (2) what is their net worth now. The average figures were $5 million and $2.6 million respectively. The professor who asked the question said, 'regardless of the audience, the ratio is always 2:1'. People are definitely very confident that they will at least make more money in future than now.
Overconfidence can lead to the followings:
1. Not having an investment plan
Perhaps the most common reason why investment plans fail is that the investor doesn't actually have a plan. The very first step of a rational investor is to draft a plan stating investment goals and conditions. This is to make you detached from the whole investment business and follow strictly by the book not your heart.
2. Overtrading
In Odean and Barbet's study of 78,000 investors' accounts in a large brokerage firm from 1991-1996, the most active traders scored an average return of 10% compared to the less active investors' 17.5% profits. And online traders suffer even lower returns as they tend to overtrade and thus lose money to brokerage charges.
3. Lack of diversification
Due to overconfidence, investors tend to invest heavily on a particular investment with the optimism that it will generate good returns. This lead to insufficient diversification of portfolios.
In general, overconfidence is caused by mental bias that leads investors to over-estimate their knowledge, under estimate the risk and exaggerate the control they have over a situation.
Happy, Investing,
Jordan Tan
People exaggerate their own abilities and this is particularly common in managing their assets. Overconfidence often results in investors being fooled by small gains in a few trades, feeling much more in control of a situation than they are. Money managers, advisors and investors are consistently overconfident in their ability to outperform the market, but fail to do so.
For example, mutual fund managers, analysts, and business executives at a conference were asked to write down (1) how much money they would have at retirement and (2) what is their net worth now. The average figures were $5 million and $2.6 million respectively. The professor who asked the question said, 'regardless of the audience, the ratio is always 2:1'. People are definitely very confident that they will at least make more money in future than now.
Overconfidence can lead to the followings:
1. Not having an investment plan
Perhaps the most common reason why investment plans fail is that the investor doesn't actually have a plan. The very first step of a rational investor is to draft a plan stating investment goals and conditions. This is to make you detached from the whole investment business and follow strictly by the book not your heart.
2. Overtrading
In Odean and Barbet's study of 78,000 investors' accounts in a large brokerage firm from 1991-1996, the most active traders scored an average return of 10% compared to the less active investors' 17.5% profits. And online traders suffer even lower returns as they tend to overtrade and thus lose money to brokerage charges.
3. Lack of diversification
Due to overconfidence, investors tend to invest heavily on a particular investment with the optimism that it will generate good returns. This lead to insufficient diversification of portfolios.
In general, overconfidence is caused by mental bias that leads investors to over-estimate their knowledge, under estimate the risk and exaggerate the control they have over a situation.
Happy, Investing,
Jordan Tan
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